Geoff Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, attributes recent market turbulence—including Bitcoin’s decline and the rise in U.S. long-term Treasury yields—to a reduction in the term premium of U.S. Treasury bonds. The term premium represents the additional return investors demand for holding long-term bonds instead of rolling over short-term bonds. Since Bitcoin is often viewed as a hedge against instability in traditional financial markets, increased confidence in U.S. Treasuries may temporarily weaken Bitcoin’s appeal, contributing to its price decline.
Kendrick noted, “MicroStrategy shows no signs of slowing down its Bitcoin purchases and is unlikely to sell. However, the average purchase price for ETFs and MicroStrategy since the election has been $88,700. This could serve as a short-term bottom, with Bitcoin likely consolidating in the $85,000 to $88,700 range before resuming its upward trajectory.”
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